The global economic burden of violent conflict (Olaf J. de Groot, et al.)

Abstract Calculating the consequences of global public bads such as climate change or pandemics helps uncover the scale, distribution and structure of their economic burdens. As violent conflict affects billions of people worldwide, whether directly or indirectly, this article sets out to estimate its global macro-economic repercussions. Using a novel methodology that accounts for multiple …

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Tribal conflicts cause political, social, and economic loss (Lok Franco Kok)

March 16, 2011 — The term “tribe” has no consistent meaning. It carries misleading historical and cultural assumptions. Tribal conflicts have weathered South Sudan’s history for many years and a complex tribal justice system has arisen as a result. Although today illiteracy eradication and development projects have played an important role in reducing tribal disputes, …

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Tribal conflicts cause political, social and economic loss (A lmigdad Mojalli)

Tribal conflicts have weathered Yemen’s history for thousands of years and a complex tribal justice system has arisen as a result. Although today illiteracy eradication and development projects have played an important role in reducing tribal disputes, much remains to be done to address longstanding truces and other unresolved tribal arguments. Read more

No country for old men: Aging dictators and economic growth. (Richard Jong-A-Pin, Jochen O. Mierau)

Abstract: Why do some autocracies have higher economic growth rates than others? An emerging literature is highlighting that in addition to economic and institutional variables, personal characteristics of political leaders affect economic growth rates. Within this tradition, we develop a political-economic growth model of the relationship between the age of a dictator and economic growth. …

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Can conflicts unite a nation? (Daryna Grechyna)

Abstract: Despite the global commitment to fostering peace, the world suffers from violent conflicts. Related literature connects intrastate ethnic conflicts to polarization, but the relationship between the other types of conflicts and polarization is unclear. I build a simple model showing that conflicts initiated by an external aggressor can reduce the political polarization of a …

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Economic and social impacts of conflict: A cross-country analysis (Thai-Ha Le, Manh-Tien Bui, and Gazi Salah Uddin)

Abstract: It is important to understand how conflicts within or between countries impact national economic and social development pathways, requiring policymakers to design effective mechanisms to counter the regressive effects of conflict. We explored the relationships between conflict and different types of development outcomes: economic growth, life expectancy, and educational attainment. We applied a dynamic …

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Israel’s Hidden War: The Battle Between Ideologues and Generals That Will Define the Country’s Future (Mairav Zonszein)

In August, Ronen Bar, the head of Israel’s general security service, the Shin Bet, wrote a remarkable letter to Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu and Israeli cabinet ministers. The letter didn’t get much attention in Israel or abroad, but it went to the heart of the crisis that has afflicted the country since the October 7, …

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Putin’s Hidden Vulnerability: To Break the Kremlin’s War Machine, the West Must Exploit the Grievances and Fears of Ordinary Russians (Peter Pomerantsev)

In early August, as Ukrainian forces burst across the Russian border on their way to capturing some 385 square miles of Russian territory in the Kursk region, the Kremlin maintained it had everything under control: state media reported that Russian President Vladimir Putin was competently organizing relief efforts for the region’s inhabitants and directing the …

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Iran’s Year of Living Dangerously: How the Failure of Tehran’s Strategy Is Raising Its Appetite for Risk (Ali Vaez)

Over four decades, in an effort to preserve itself, project regional influence, and deter adversaries, the Islamic Republic of Iran has invested in three projects: funding and arming a network of nonstate allies; developing ballistic missiles that can reach its rivals; and launching a nuclear program that can be either dialed down to deliver economic …

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