Month: December 2024

Defense Against the AI Dark Arts: Threat Assessment and Coalition Defense: Threat Assessment and Coalition Defense (Philip Zelikow, Mariano-Florentino Cuéllar, Eric Schmidt, and Jason Matheny)

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An intelligence and defense agenda for artifcial intelligence (AI) will likely take shape in The present agenda for “AI safety” is now commonly equated with checking the safety of products from private frms that use AI. The new agenda we propose goes far beyond that. The United States and its partners must get ready for …

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The Crumbling Foundations of American Strength: Knowledge Is Power—and the United States Is Losing It (Amy Zegart)

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When Russia’s invasion of Ukraine appeared imminent in early 2022, U.S. intelligence officials were so confident that Russian tanks would roll quickly to victory that staff evacuated the U.S. embassy in Kyiv. Based on traditional measures of power, the intelligence assessment made sense. In 2021, Russia ranked fifth in the world in defense spending, whereas …

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THE STANFORD EMERGING TECHNOLOGY REVIEW 2023: A Report on Ten Key Technologies and Their Policy Implications (Hoover Institution)

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Emerging technologies are transforming societies, economies, and geopolitics. This moment brings unparalleled promise and novel risks. In every era, technological advances buoy nations that develop and scale them—helping to save lives, win wars, foster greater prosperity, and advance the human condition. At the same time, history is filled with examples where slow-moving governments stifled innovation …

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Now What Do We Do? (Center for Revitalizing American Institutions)

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Was America’s crazy quilt of election systems and safeguards formidable or merely fortunate in 2024? And so the great American election crisis that was destined to be, didn’t happen – the end-result stirring relatively little in the way of legal challenges or disruption of the constitutional process, with the public feeling better about the democratic …

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The apocalypse is dead. Sort of…Dystopian fiction used to speculate about the termination or subversion of our world. Nowadays, however, the dystopia is in our newspapers (Arjuna Keshvani-Ham)

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My news feed has been full of headlines about the end of the world. “Is war coming to Korea?” “Putin: Nukes in Ukraine?” Even: “Netanyahu may use THESE THREE WEAPONS to attack Iran’s nuclear facilities!” And yet: there’s something about the threat of nuclear war that doesn’t feel real. Among my parents’ generation, the threat …

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Global order: Which principles should shape our future? (Doha Debates)

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Today, the global order is facing challenges from shifting power and ongoing conflicts around the world. In this moment of rapid change, our latest town hall sought to examine the competing values and principles that underpin our societies—and uncover fundamental truths about which philosophical building blocks are most essential to building a better, more equitable …

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The Trouble With “the Global South”: What the West Gets Wrong About the Rest (Comfort Ero)

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Not so long ago, policymakers in Washington and other Western capitals gave little apparent thought to the possibility that the rest of the world might hold opinions distinct from their own. There were some exceptions: governments that the West deemed “good partners”—in other words, those willing to advance U.S. and Western security or economic interests—continued …

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