The Eight Headwinds Threatening Global Growth in 2025 (Dambisa Moyo)

As geopolitical tensions spike and the global economy continues to fracture, several powerful forces and trends threaten to impede GDP growth, leading to social and political instability. Policymakers and investors will need to adjust to an era of heightened uncertainty and increasing fragmentation. NEW York – As we enter the second quarter of the twenty-first century, …

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Wargamers Search for Answers (Jacquelyn Schneider)

Hoover fellow Jacquelyn Schneider leads research into “might have been” clashes—and wars yet to come. Jonathan Movroydis: Let’s begin with this: what is a wargame, and what does it ask of its players? Jacquelyn Schneider: Well, you actually asked the most complicated question. As somebody who uses or designs them and has worked on creating wargames as …

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Defense Against the AI Dark Arts: Threat Assessment and Coalition Defense ( Philip Zelikow, Mariano-Florentino Cuéllar , Eric Schmidt , Jason Matheny)

The United States must now start working very hard with allies to secure democratic advantage in the domain of frontier AI. We suggest how to manage the convergence of three great vectors: private sector–led innovation, emerging threats, and international efforts. The United States must now start working very hard with allies to secure democratic advantage in …

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What is Happening in Syria: Rebels on the March (David Leonhardt)

The Syrian Civil War is a long-running tragedy. Since 2011, more than 500,000 Syrians have died, including more than 200,000 civilians, according to human rights experts. Millions more Syrians have fled their homes. The flood of refugees into Europe has been large enough to help destabilize politics in France, Germany, Italy and elsewhere. Until recently, …

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25 thinkers for an uncertain world (Prospect Team)

Our list of Top Thinkers is intended to spotlight people whose ideas are shaping the world in which we live—and many of this year’s nominations tick that boxTwelve months ago, we published our shortlist of Top Thinkers for 2024—and you, Prospect readers, chose well. You picked Daron Acemoglu as the winner, and in October he received a …

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Defense Against the AI Dark Arts: Threat Assessment and Coalition Defense (Philip Zelikow)

The United States must now start working very hard with allies to secure democratic advantage in the domain of frontier AI. We suggest how to manage the convergence of three great vectors: private sector–led innovation, emerging threats, and international efforts. The United States must now start working very hard with allies to secure democratic advantage in …

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The Human Authority Needed for Good Schools (Philip K. Howard)

Good schools require, more than anything, genuine human engagement. Each student has a different aptitude and needs. Each teacher must have the autonomy to connect with students and to earn moral authority. Each principal must assert and enforce common values and standards that everyone knows and can trust. A school’s culture is the sum of these countless human …

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An Introduction to 2025 and Beyond: Looming Health Policy Challenges (Lanhee J. Chen, Tom Church, and Daniel L. Heil)

The US healthcare system remains too expensive and overly cumbersome for many patients. Costs continue to rise while millions of Americans have poor access to high-quality healthcare. None of these acts should come as a surprise. Despite countless reform efforts, the dual challenges of high costs and sometimes limited access remain a stubborn fact of …

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Will Trump Eliminate the Federal Role in Education or Expand It? ( Chester E. Finn, Jr. )

Finn: The incoming administration is sending mixed messages about whether to leave education decisions to the states—or dictate policy from DC. Perhaps you’ve been wondering why many recent articles, predictions and speculations about Trump’s plans for the U.S. Department of Education focus on its abolition while others predict that it will be forcefully deployed to …

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