Volcanic Winter, Population Bottlenecks, and Human Evolution (Stanley H. Ambrose)

The eruption of the Mount Toba supervolcano in the Indonesian island of Sumatra 74,000 years ago brought about an era of severe environmental degradation that decimated populations of Neanderthals and modern humans. Archaeological evidence suggests that modern humans survived this era by creating cooperative intergroup social networks and behaving like tribes. Neanderthals, on the other …

Read More

The Collapse of Cities and Civilizations at the End of the Late Bronze Age (Yale University Lecture)

For more than three hundred years during the Late Bronze Age, from about 1500 BC until just after 1200 BC, the Mediterranean region played host to a complex international world in which Egyptians, Mycenaeans, Minoans, Hittites, Assyrians, Babylonians, Cypriots, Trojans, and Canaanites all interacted. They created a cosmopolitan world-system, with flourishing cities such as Mycenae, …

Read More

Collapse of Complex Societies (Joseph Tainter)

The collapse of complex societies of the past can inform the present on the risks of collapse. Dr. Joseph Tainter, author of the book The Collapse of Complex societies, and featured in Leonardo Dicaprio’s film The Eleventh Hour, details the factors that led to the collapse of past civilizations including the Roman Empire. Watch the …

Read More

Can Math Predict the End Times? (Peter Turchin)

Peter Turchin is a social scientist at the University of Connecticut who studies the math of social integration and disintegration. Peter created the field of Cliodynamics and delves into how he predicts the trajectory of social cohesion based on historical data from 200 societies, why elite overproduction is bad, and how we can avoid disaster …

Read More

 “Surplus, Complexity, and Simplification”: The Great Simplification (Joseph Tainter)

What are the key differences between complicated and complex? How can we better understand energy and society through these key distinctions? Tainter explains our current predicament based on decades of research and offers pathways for our collective future. Joe Tainter has been a professor at Utah State University in the Environment and Society Department since …

Read More

Elites and the Path to Political Disintegration – The Realignment Podcast (Peter Turchin)

Peter Turchin, author of End Times: Elites, Counter-Elites, and the Path of Political Disintegration, joins The Realignment. Peter and Marshall discuss his 2010 prediction that the U.S. would experience significant political turmoil in 2020, the factors that drove 2010-2020s political conflict, why the elite-overproduction phenomenon is one of the strongest determinants of societal health, and …

Read More