The Paradox of Israeli Deterrence: How a Campaign Against Hezbollah Could Lower Iran’s Inhibitions (Carrie A. Lee)

Last April, it appeared as though escalation between Israel and Iran could plunge the entire Middle East into conflict. Israel’s strikes on the Iranian consulate in Damascus prompted Iran to retaliate by launching a barrage of missiles and rockets into Israel—the first time that Iran had openly attacked the country. But after Israel responded in …

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War and Peace in the Age of Artificial Intelligence: What It Will Mean for the World When Machines Shape Strategy and Statecraft (Henry A. Kissinger, Eric Schmidt, and Craig Mundie)

From the recalibration of military strategy to the reconstitution of diplomacy, artificial intelligence will become a key determinant of order in the world. Immune to fear and favor, AI introduces a new possibility of objectivity in strategic decision-making. But that objectivity, harnessed by both the warfighter and the peacemaker, should preserve human subjectivity, which is …

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Ukraine’s Trump Tightrope: Kyiv Must Convince the President-Elect That a Russian Victory Could Hurt Him (Nataliya Gumenyuk)

As with many other aspects of their war against Russia, Ukrainians have reacted to the outcome of the U.S. presidential election with a certain dark humor. The morning after the election, Ukrainian social media was full of jokes, including by soldiers commenting that they are “preparing to go home soon, since the war will end …

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Why Trade Should Be Free (David R. Henderson)

One of the gloomier items in the current presidential election is the extent to which both major candidates, Donald Trump and Kamala Harris, oppose free trade and favor tariffs. Trump is much more extreme. He advocates a 60 percent tariff rate on goods from China and a 10 to 20 percent rate on goods from …

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Republican Victory and the Ambience of Information (Nathan Heller)

For years, Democrats have sought to win elections by micro-targeting communities with detailed facts. What if the secret is big, sloppy notions seeded nationwide? Dawn had not yet broken on the election results last week when Democrats began their favored ritual of falling out of love. Reasons were enumerated why Kamala Harris, the candidate who …

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Middle Powers Will Make a Multipolar World (Dani Rodrik)

Although middle powers like India, Indonesia, Brazil, South Africa, Turkey, and Nigeria are unlikely to form a bloc of their own, they are well-positioned to lead on many pressing issues. In doing so, they can offer a vision for the world economy that does not depend on either America’s or China’s power and goodwill. Read …

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The Trump Shock Is the Democrats’ Fault (Daren Acemoglu)

While the Democrats have won some recent elections with support from Silicon Valley, minorities, trade unions, and professionals in large cities, this coalition was never sustainable. The party has become culturally disconnected from, and disdainful of, precisely the voters it needs to win. Read More

How Trump Did It (PS Editors)

Not only did Donald Trump win last week’s US presidential election decisively – winning some three million more votes than his opponent, Vice President Kamala Harris – but the Republican Party he now controls gained majorities in both houses on Congress. Given the far-reaching implications of this result – for both US democracy and global …

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